Polls suggest close races in North Carolina congressional races

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— A roundup of recent public opinion polls put together by the politics and polling website FiveThirtyEight suggests that three congressional races in North Carolina remain too close to call with Election Day less than three weeks away.

Polls released since the beginning of September queried voters in the 2nd District, where Democrat Linda Coleman faces Republican Congressman George Holding, the 9th District, where Democrat Dan McCready and Republican Mark Harris vie for an open seat, and the 13th District, where Republican Congressman Tedd Budd faces Democrat Kathy Manning.

The results of the polls in all three races were within their reported margins of error –- effectively, all three are tossups.

Voting booth

The most recent poll in the 13th District, from SurveyUSA, gave Budd a 3-percentage-point lead over Manning. SurveyUSA contacted 533 district residents it determined to be likely voters. The poll was conducted Oct. 9-12 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.2 percentage points.

In the 9th District, the most recent poll also came from SurveyUSA, paid for by the conservative Civitas Institute. It gave McCready a 4-point lead over Harris. The poll was conducted Oct. 2-4 and sampled 556 people whom SurveyUSA deemed to be likely voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.7 percentage points. An earlier Survey USA/Civitas Institute poll had McCready with a 7-point lead.

The most recent poll in the 2nd District is more than a month old – it was conducted Sept. 5-8 by SurveyUSA. The company contacted 538 people it determined to be likely voters and had Holding and Coleman 1 point apart. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.


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